Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Auda are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Grobiņa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 80.3 against 80.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Cup, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
8.2%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80