Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Auda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Grobiņa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Auda hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Virsliga, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
76.8%
Model confidence
16.6%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40