Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Auda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FCSB are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Auda hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 20.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
9.8%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60