GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Auda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Auda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Auda hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Virsliga, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Auda

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AudaWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BFC DaugavpilsWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AudaBFC Daugavpils
54.2Attack42.3
63.9Defence60.3
63.9Form46.2
61.2Power51.0
1.44xG0.81
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