Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Auckland are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tottenham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 73.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80