GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 5/9/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Aucas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AucasLWDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad CatolicaLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AucasUniversidad Catolica
40.3Attack54.2
65.3Defence70.8
56.9Form54.2
56.0Power59.5
0.75xG1.03
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