Aucasvs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 5/9/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Aucas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80