GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/8/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tecnico Universitario · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aucas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tecnico Universitario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tecnico Universitario hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tecnico Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tecnico Universitario

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Tecnico Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AucasLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tecnico UniversitarioLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AucasTecnico Universitario
16.7Attack50.0
58.3Defence50.0
25.0Form33.3
36.2Power48.3
1.47xG1.48
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