GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aucas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Aucas are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tecnico Universitario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Liga Pro, while Aucas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aucas

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Aucas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AucasDLDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Tecnico UniversitarioWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AucasTecnico Universitario
38.7Attack27.8
65.3Defence55.6
54.7Form36.1
54.8Power41.6
1.15xG0.51
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