Aucasvs
Mushuc Runa SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 2/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aucas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Aucas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Liga Pro, while Aucas holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aucas
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Aucas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80