Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Aucas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Macara are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 56.0 against 57.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60