Aucasvs
Leones del Norte
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 8/8/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Aucas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and aucas hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Liga Pro, favouring a draw with 22.8% confidence, a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
22.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60