GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Aucas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.7% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

27.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AucasWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoLWWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AucasLDU de Quito
40.3Attack31.9
65.3Defence72.2
56.9Form48.6
56.0Power52.8
0.73xG0.60
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