GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/16/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Aucas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AucasWWDWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AucasIndependiente del Valle
40.3Attack81.3
65.3Defence68.0
56.9Form85.3
56.0Power78.3
0.77xG1.52
View match centre →