Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aucas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Aucas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Delfin SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Liga Pro, while Aucas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aucas
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Aucas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40