Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aubstadt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Aubstadt are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kornburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aubstadt hold a 53.0-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aubstadt holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aubstadt
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
60.3%
Aubstadt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80