Aubagnevs
Thionville Lusitanos
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thionville Lusitanos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aubagne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Thionville Lusitanos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Thionville Lusitanos hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Ligue 3, while Thionville Lusitanos holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thionville Lusitanos
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Thionville Lusitanos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80