GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thionville Lusitanos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aubagne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Thionville Lusitanos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Thionville Lusitanos hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Ligue 3, while Thionville Lusitanos holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thionville Lusitanos

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Thionville Lusitanos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AubagneDLWDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Thionville LusitanosDWWLL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
AubagneThionville Lusitanos
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power97.0
1.02xG1.52
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