Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atyrau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Zhetysu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atyrau hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40