Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atyrau are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Zhenys are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zhenys hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80