Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atyrau are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kaspiy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.8 against 43.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40