Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atromitos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atromitos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aris are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atromitos hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Atromitos holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atromitos
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Atromitos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00