GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/26/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Atlético Tucumán Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 70.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético Tucumán Res.LWWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vélez Sársfield Res.WLWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético Tucumán Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
40.6Attack61.1
56.5Defence79.2
50.7Form70.8
51.1Power70.1
0.61xG1.53
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