GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atlético Ottawa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Ottawa

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

11.9%

Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético OttawaWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCLLLDD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Atlético OttawaHFX Wanderers FC
52.1Attack41.2
39.6Defence49.0
50.0Form33.3
49.6Power43.3
1.75xG1.33
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