Atlético CPvs
Mafra
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mafra · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atlético CP are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mafra are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mafra hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Liga 3, while Mafra holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mafra
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
14.4%
Mafra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20