GGOALVIO

Atlético Choloma logoAtlético CholomavsCD Marathon logoCD Marathon

SCHEDULED

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Marathon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atlético Choloma are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while CD Marathon are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Marathon hold a 49.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Marathon holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Marathon

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

14.4%

CD Marathon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético CholomaLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CD MarathonDWDDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Atlético CholomaCD Marathon
0.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power64.8
1.02xG1.30
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