Atlético Alagoinhasvs
Jacuipense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jacuipense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Atlético Alagoinhas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jacuipense are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Jacuipense hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (25.3 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Serie D, while Jacuipense holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jacuipense
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Jacuipense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20