GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jacuipense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Atlético Alagoinhas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jacuipense are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Jacuipense hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (25.3 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Serie D, while Jacuipense holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jacuipense

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Jacuipense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético AlagoinhasLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JacuipenseLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético AlagoinhasJacuipense
16.7Attack36.1
33.3Defence52.8
16.7Form38.9
25.3Power45.6
0.69xG1.40
View match centre →