GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/8/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Tucuman are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Sarmiento Junin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and sarmiento Junin hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Liga Profesional Argentina, favouring a draw with 21.2% confidence, a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

21.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico TucumanDWDWW

GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Sarmiento JuninWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin
30.0Attack35.0
63.3Defence53.3
31.7Form41.7
43.1Power45.9
0.90xG0.72
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