GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Torque are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico TorqueWDLDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Defensor SportingWWDDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico TorqueDefensor Sporting
50.0Attack27.5
59.1Defence69.6
53.0Form39.1
55.5Power48.1
1.00xG0.60
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