GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 7/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cruz Azul · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atletico San Luis are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cruz Azul are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruz Azul hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Liga MX, while Cruz Azul holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cruz Azul

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Cruz Azul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico San LuisWWWDL

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Cruz AzulDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
44.4Attack77.8
44.4Defence33.3
22.2Form66.7
40.2Power62.6
1.54xG1.74
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