Atletico Pilarvs
Provincial
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Pilar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico Pilar are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Provincial are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (27.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Atletico Pilar holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Pilar
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
16.5%
Atletico Pilar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40