Atletico Paranaensevs
Vitoria
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/26/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Paranaense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vitoria are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.4% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20