GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 2/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Santos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseWWWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SantosDLWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico ParanaenseSantos
44.9Attack46.0
71.0Defence44.4
59.4Form34.9
60.0Power43.9
1.69xG0.69
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