Atletico Paranaensevs
Santos
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 2/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Paranaense are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Santos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00