Atletico Paranaensevs
RB Bragantino
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/15/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while RB Bragantino are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.0% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
20.0%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60