GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 5/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mirassol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

18.1%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseWDDLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MirassolLWWLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
45.5Attack38.1
71.2Defence52.4
60.6Form36.5
60.6Power45.3
1.46xG0.57
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