Atletico Paranaensevs
Mirassol
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 5/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Paranaense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mirassol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
18.1%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20