GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 5/17/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Flamengo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseDLDWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FlamengoLWWDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico ParanaenseFlamengo
44.9Attack61.9
71.0Defence71.4
59.4Form66.7
60.0Power66.2
0.81xG1.00
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