GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 3/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Coritiba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CoritibaWWWLD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico ParanaenseCoritiba
44.9Attack40.6
71.0Defence56.5
59.4Form44.9
60.0Power49.2
1.29xG0.62
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