GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 3/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Botafogo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BotafogoWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico ParanaenseBotafogo
44.9Attack55.6
71.0Defence47.6
59.4Form47.6
60.0Power51.5
1.55xG0.86
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