Atletico Nacionalvs
Santa Fe
POSTPONEDColombia · Primera A · 8/15/2026, 11:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Nacional are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
14.6%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80