GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 8/15/2026, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

14.6%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Santa FeWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico NacionalSanta Fe
66.7Attack51.3
73.1Defence64.1
74.4Form50.0
70.6Power55.9
1.61xG0.72
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