Atletico Nacionalvs
Junior
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 6/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Nacional are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Junior are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
15.0%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40