GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 5/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.0% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

16.0%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes TolimaLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima
64.2Attack48.1
72.8Defence66.7
71.6Form56.8
68.8Power58.8
1.42xG0.69
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