GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Mitre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Mitre are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Club Atlético Güemes are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Mitre hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Primera Nacional, while Atletico Mitre holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Mitre

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

17.9%

Atletico Mitre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico MitreWWDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Club Atlético GüemesLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico MitreClub Atlético Güemes
33.3Attack29.0
61.1Defence39.1
38.9Form27.5
46.0Power35.3
1.36xG0.61
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