GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Mitre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico MitreWLDLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Almirante BrownDDWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico MitreAlmirante Brown
33.3Attack26.4
61.3Defence81.9
38.7Form52.8
46.1Power56.1
0.46xG0.58
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