GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 3/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico-MG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Internacional are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Serie A, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGLDLDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
InternacionalDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico-MGInternacional
42.9Attack34.8
57.1Defence59.1
46.0Form34.8
50.1Power44.8
1.15xG0.80
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