Atletico-MGvsGremio

Atletico-MG are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gremio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Serie A, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.