Atletico-MGvsBahia

Atletico-MG are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Bahia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Serie A, while Bahia holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.