Atletico-MGvs
Atletico Paranaense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/5/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico-MG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60