GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/10/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atletico Independiente are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlético Choloma are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Independiente hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Liga Nacional, while Atletico Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Independiente

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

14.1%

Atletico Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico IndependienteL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Atlético CholomaLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico IndependienteAtlético Choloma
0.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.37xG1.05
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