Atletico Independientevs
Atlético Choloma
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 8/10/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atletico Independiente are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlético Choloma are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Independiente hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Liga Nacional, while Atletico Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Independiente
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
14.1%
Atletico Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40