GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Grau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Grau hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico GrauLWLLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
UCV MoqueguaDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico GrauUCV Moquegua
24.2Attack30.2
66.7Defence55.6
34.8Form33.3
44.0Power41.8
0.74xG0.55
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