GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/22/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Grau are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico GrauLDDDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting CristalWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico GrauSporting Cristal
24.2Attack52.4
66.7Defence47.6
34.8Form41.3
44.0Power48.6
0.85xG0.97
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