GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 8/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Grau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.4% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

22.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico GrauDLLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Comerciantes UnidosWLDDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos
23.8Attack42.9
65.1Defence55.6
31.7Form41.3
42.3Power48.9
0.72xG0.84
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