Atletico Grauvs
Comerciantes Unidos
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico Grau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.4% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
22.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60