Atletico Goianiensevs
Nautico Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 4/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico Goianiense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nautico Recife are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Goianiense hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00