GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Goianiense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nautico Recife are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Goianiense hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico GoianienseLWWWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Nautico RecifeLWDDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico GoianienseNautico Recife
38.1Attack39.7
66.7Defence60.3
50.8Form41.3
54.3Power48.1
0.99xG0.71
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